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OmiseGO Potential Market Penetration Analysis
After reviewing video interviews and reading people's perception of the OMG Network, I wanted to derive certain values of the markets which OmiseGO is attempting to enter in 4 main sections. As well the potential market penetration and expectation once the OMG Network goes live. 1) Peer to Peer Transactions This portion is to allow any individual who uses the OMG Network to trade with another individual by transferring funds. The following is yearly trading volumes through various companies and applications: E-Transfer - $63 Billion E-Transfer 2016 Volume Western Union - $80 Billion Western Union 2016 Volume PayPal - $354 Billion PayPal 2016 Volume AliPay/WeChat - $3 Trillion AliPay/WeChat 2016 Volume P2P Total - $3.497 Trillion 2) Current Omise Partnerships I won't go into much detail with the following as it was already mentioned. All the current partnerships that Omise currently has will be using the OMG Network, therefore all their financial activity will be transacted. Analysis of the Merchants of Omise Partners Total - Approx $30 Billion 3) Foreign Exchange Trading This is the most exciting aspect of OmiseGO on which they will be providing to the masses. The ability to transact any currency into the currency of their choice. This is through their White Label Wallet SDK that companies will be able to create their unique applications on top of the OMG Network. Correct me if I am wrong, but this could also allow the use of their White Label Wallet SDK to create a Foreign Exchange for trading purposes. The amount that is traded on Foreign Currency each day is roughly $3 Trillion. Reuters Foreign Echange Volume FX Total - $1095 Trillion 4) Crypto Exchange Trading Lastly, similar to the last point, there can easily be a Decentralized Crypto Exchange that can be created using the OMG network. Through looking at volumes on a 30 Day Period, it is easy to estimate a yearly projection. The previous 30 Days there was $853.2 Billion traded on various markets according to Coin Market Cap. Therefore the estimation would place a yearly total as being $10.38 Trillion over 365 Days of Trading. Coin Market Cap CX Total - $10.38 Trillion Overall Estimation of all 4 Sections - $1,108.907 Trillion. Therefore once the Network goes live, that is an estimated total amount, that can be eventually transacted. However it is not likely that the OMG Network will transact all of the above. If we assume we only obtain 1% of the Market by the end of 2018 in each sector, the OMG Network can be transacting close to $11.089 Trillion. Dependent on the Transaction Fee that is associated with the OMG Network, the following amounts could be distributed to Token Holders for each token. For Example: Total Token Supply: 140,245,398 * (Estimation of 75% of Tokens Staked) = 105,184,048.5 Transaction Fee: 1% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.01 = 110.89 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $1054.25 .5% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.005 = 55.445 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $527.12 .1% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.001 = 11.089 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $105.42 People have been mentioning Transaction Fee Rates to be 0.5% as the base. This means there is potentially a much smaller Transaction Fee that could be obtained that makes the OMG Network competitive and much more focused on providing user more for their daily use. I believe the Transaction Fee should be much less, but still shows the value OMG could be delivering to the world in the future. Conclusion Based on the above information it clearly shows what potential markets we could be helping by lowering fees to everyone on a global scale. I did not include Credit Card Transactions as that requires a Credit system, as this Network would mainly be dependent on Debit Transactions, meaning individuals already have Fiat/Crypto/Reward Points in their possession. Credit amounts can be calculated later once there are banks using this application with their Credit Services. As well there is currently no market for trading reward points, therefore it can not be accurately estimated on how much it will be used. If you have any comments or questions on what I have stated please let me know. The above is information that I have found and thought it may benefit the community from understanding the possibility and the markets that OmiseGO will be aiding in the future. Please discuss any information that I may have missed and might find beneficial to add. EDIT: Thank you ii_OiO_ii for correcting my mistake on the FX Amount. I have made the adjustments.
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